The Win, Draw, Loss method is very simple and takes into account the proportion of past wins, draws, and losses over a specified period of time. By calculating the number of wins, draws and losses for both the home and away sides and then combining them it is possible to produce a statistical probability of the possible outcome of the game. |
As an example this is roughly how Betchair.co.uk handles this method,
Once you have a percentage probability for each outcome a decision can be made on the most likely outcome. |