The Score Prediction method uses a teams goal performances over a specified period of time in order to predict the score of the game concerned.

As an example this is how BetChair.co.uk handles this method. This is an example of a match and each teams respective goal count for the last five games:

home team 3-3 1-0 4-1 0-2 2-1

away team 0-1 2-2 0-3 6-0 1-3

We can work out some figures from this as follows:

home teams goals scored for = HGF = 3 + 1 + 4 + 0 + 2 = 10

away teams goals scored for = AGF = 1 + 2 + 3 + 0 + 3 = 9

home teams goals against = HGA = 3 + 0 + 1 + 2 + 1 = 7

away teams goals against = AGA = 0 + 2 + 0 + 6 + 1 = 9

Now we can work out points for each team based on the goals they have scored and the goals they have had scored against them as follows:

home goal points = HGP = HGF + AGA = 10 + 9 = 19

away goals points = AGP = HGA + AGF = 7 + 9 = 16

And now we can get a difference:

goal points difference = GPD = HGP - AGP = 19 - 16 = 3

Now we could classify this as follows:

GPD => +2 then home win,

GPD =< -2 then away win

GPD <+2 and >-2 then draw.

Now we must use the GPD and one of three tables.

Here are the tables...

Home WIn Score Prediction

Home

Away

>0

>11

>17

>26

>49

6

0

1

2

3

>43

5

0

1

2

3

>37

4

0

1

2

3

>30

3

0

1

2

>23

2

0

1

>0

1

0

Away Win Score Prediction

Home

Away

>23

>18

>13

>0

3

2

1

0

5

>34

3

2

1

0

4

>29

2

1

0

3

>24

1

0

2

>18

0

1

>0

Draw Score Prediction

Home + Away

>44

3

3

>34

2

2

>24

1

1

>0

0

0

Since our match has generated a home win then we must use the HOME WIN SCORE PREDICTION table.

Now we need to calculate another parameter, that of home goal score points as follows:

HGSP = HGP + all goals scored by home team of 3 or more in a match + all goals against the away side of 3 or more.

therefore HGSP = 19 + 7 + 6 = 32

Now do the same for the away team:

AGSP = AGP + all goals scored by away team of 3 or more in a match + all goals against the home side of 3 or more.

therefore AGSP = 16 + 6 + 3 = 25

So, in the home win score prediction table we go to HOME > 30 which gives us 3 goals for the home team and go to AWAY > 17 giving us two goals for the away team therefore the result is predicted as a 3-2 home win.